Most of the ideas discussed in this course derive from one particular
model of the society called capitalism.
At the core lies an idea that capital
(indeed any kind of asset such as money,
raw material, even patents) owned by an individual
(the investor) can be lent to another
(the entrepreneur) to produce a
certain number of goods or services.
The separation of roles played by the owner and producer is not granted
for example in feudal, communist or family based societies, where the
suzerain, the state or the father
respectively are as much the owners as the chief producers of goods.
With no implied judgment for choosing one particular model, this
separation of interests does however lead to a number of interesting
characteristics:
An important feature of capitalism is the markets, where investors exchange standardized assets in the form of securities, for a market price (the spot price) that is openly disclosed to all the participants in the market. Examples include the well known stock markets (such as the New York Stock Exchange NYSE, the European Virtual Exchange VTX) and less well know exchanges (such as the New York Mercantile Exchange NYMEX, the New York Commodity Exchange COMEX, or the Chicago Board of Trade CBOT) where raw material are traded (such as cattle, oil, gold).
The spot price of a security depends on the consensus reached via offer and demand from the sellers and the buyers: if everything goes well for the investors, it slowly drifts in time at a rate that reflects the growing value of this security. Uncertainties in the valuation lead to different opinions and are the source of price fluctuations: quantified as the standard deviation of normalized increments measured over a period of time, the fluctuations are called volatility and play a central role in the description of any security. Combining the effects from drift and volatility, the spot prices are said to evolve in a stochastic manner, i.e. they never follow any quite predictable pattern: rather, they look like the random walk that was first described in biology, when Brown observed the motion of small particles under a microscope and is illustrated with horizontal motions in the VMARKET applet below.
Not all the trades are openly disclosed in exchanges: non-standard deals are generally carried out over-the-counter (OTC) by a broker, who's job as a market maker is to determine a fair price that will match buyers with sellers, while keeping a small fraction of the money for himself in transaction costs. Neither are the trades always for investment purposes: markets are inhabited by speculators who bet on the price evolution, hedgers who seek protection to reduce the investment risk and arbitrageurs who try to exploit small price differences to make immediate and risk free profits.
Financial regulations try to guarantee a fair treatment for all the participants in an open market. Clearinghouses, via a deposit in cash, ensure that the deals are carried out according to the contracts: clearing margins are particularly important when a party enters an obligation toward another some time in the future: instead of buying (i.e. go long) a security in the hope that the price will rise, this allows members of a clearinghouse to sell short a security, i.e. sell something for future delivery that they do not currently own, in the hope that they will be able to buy it more cheaply later.
Private investors generally have access to the markets through a bank or a Internet broker who will carry out market operations on their behalf, generally charging a fixed fee plus a commission around 1-2% of the value of the deal, which have both to be added to the total transaction costs. Because of the risk of defaulting on a deal, securities that carry an obligation are often not accessible to the private investors; chapter 2 will show how a put option can be used instead to earn money in falling markets.
SYLLABUS Previous: 1.1 How to study Up: 1 INTRODUCTION Next: 1.3 The risk and